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W. Paul McKinney, Professor University of Louisville School of Public Health and Information Sciences, THIS FIELD BLANK
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mckinney{at}louisville.edu W. Paul McKinney, et al.
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Tsigkou et al. (1) in their paper describing the use of total inhibin and CA-125 as markers for epithelial ovarian cancer appear to overestimate the likelihood ratios applicable to positive tests for each marker used individually and for a composite index reflecting positivity for either one. The likelihood ratio for a positive test is defined as the sensitivity of the test divided by the quantity one minus the specificity of the test, or LR+ = Sensitivity/(1-Specificity) (2). Using this definition, the authors' statement that the diagnostic cutoff was set for a specificity of 95% in all cases, and the data in Table 2 for the "percentage of ovarian cancers detected," i.e., the sensitivity of each parameter ranging from 84 to 99, the LR+ results in Table 3 appear to be miscalculated. Instead of values for the LR+ of 26.7, 27.4, and 18.8 for the total inhibin, CA-125, and total inhibin plus CA-125, these results should be 84/5=16.8, 87/5=17.4, and 99/5=19.8, respectively. For a specificity set at 95% for the LR+ linked to high inhibin and CA-125 values individually to exceed 20 as reported, the corresponding sensitivities would need to exceed 100%, an impossible range,. Nonetheless, even with these adjusted values, the LR+ results are of relatively high magnitude and merit further exploration for clinical usefulness in diagnosis of ovarian cancer. References 1. Tsigkou A, Marrelli D, Reis FM, Luisi S, Silva-Filho AL, Roviello F, Triginelli SA, Petraglia F. 2007. Total inhibin is a potential serum marker for epithelial ovarian cancer. J Clin Endocrinol Metab 92:2526-2531 2. Jaeschke R, Guyatt G, Lijmer J. 2002. Diagnostic Tests. In: Users' Guides to the Medical Literature: A Manual for Evidence-Based Clinical Practice. Guyatt G, Rennie D, eds. AMA Press, Chicago, p 132 |
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