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Submitted on June 15, 2005
Accepted on December 27, 2005
New England Research Institutes, Watertown, MA; University of Washington, Seattle, WA
* To whom correspondence should be addressed. E-mail: vkupelian{at}neriscience.com.
Background: Metabolic syndrome (MetS), characterized by central obesity, lipid and insulin dysregulation, and hypertension, is a precursor state for cardiovascular disease. The purpose of this analysis was to determine whether low serum sex hormones or clinical androgen deficiency (AD) predict the development of MetS.
Methods: Data were obtained from the Massachusetts Male Aging Study (MMAS), a population-based prospective cohort of 1709 men observed at 3 timepoints (T1: 1987-89; T2: 1995-97; T3: 2002-04). MetS was defined by using a modification of the ATP III guidelines. Clinical AD was defined using a combination of testosterone levels and clinical signs and symptoms. The association between MetS and sex hormones or clinical AD was assessed using relative risks (RR) and 95% confidence intervals (95% CI) estimated using Poisson regression models.
Results: Analysis was conducted among 950 men without MetS at T1. Lower levels of total testosterone and SHBG were predictive of MetS, particularly among men with BMI<25 with adjusted RRs for a decrease in one SD of 1.41 (95CI:1.06-1.87) and 1.65 (95%CI:1.12-2.42). Results were similar for the AD and MetS association with RRs of 2.51 (95%CI:1.12-5.65) among men with BMI<25 compared with a RR=1.22 (95%CI:0.66-2.24) in men with BMI
25.
Conclusions: Low serum SHBG, low total testosterone, and clinical AD are associated with increased risk of developing MetS over time, particularly in non-overweight middle-aged men (BMI<25). Together, these results suggest that low SHBG and/or AD may provide an early warning sign for cardiovascular risk and an opportunity for early intervention in non-obese men.
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