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Pediatric Endocrinology Section, University Childrens Hospital, Eberhard Karls University (M.B.R.), D-72076 Tuebingen, Germany; Pfizer, Inc. (A.L., P.W.), S-11287 Stockholm, Sweden; Pediatric Growth Research Center, Department of Pediatrics, Queen Silvia Childrens Hospital (K.A.-W.), Sahlgrenska Academy of Goteborg University, S-416 85 Goteborg, Sweden; Department of Pediatrics, St. Marys Hospital (D.A.P.), Manchester M27 1HA, United Kingdom; and Baystate Medical Center Childrens Hospital, Tufts University of Medicine (E.O.R.), Springfield, Massachusetts 01106
Address all correspondence and requests for reprints to: Dr. Michael B. Ranke, Pediatric Endocrinology Section, University Childrens Hospital, Hoppe-Seyler Strasse 1, D-72076 Tuebingen, Germany. E-mail: michael.ranke{at}med.uni-tuebingen.de.
| Abstract |
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| Introduction |
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| Subjects and Methods |
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Patients
We analyzed the data of all prepubertal patients with idiopathic GHD who had been enrolled in KIGS up to January 14, 2004. These patients had been treated exclusively with recombinant human GH (Genotropin, Pfizer, New York, NY) at six or seven injections per week. At this time the KIGS database included 265 children, aged 03 yr, and 509 children, aged 78 yr, who were suitable for analysis. The diagnosis had been made by the treating physician according to the KIGS etiology classification system (code 1) (11). A peak GH level in a provocation test of 10 µg/liter or less was an inclusion criterion for the analysis. All studied patients were in the prepubertal stage; i.e. boys had a mean testes volume of 3 ml or less, whereas girls had a Tanner breast stage of B1. For the calculation of a full years height velocity, height measurements were taken at intervals of 1214 months. Patients were excluded from the analysis if they missed their GH injections for a total of more than 14 d in 1 yr. Patients born small for gestational age were excluded.
Statistical analysis
Growth responses (height velocities, centimeters per year) were correlated with several variables by means of multiple regression analysis. The mean ± SD of these variables are reported. SD scores (SDSs) were calculated as follows: SDS = (patient value mean value for age- and sex-matched normal subjects) ÷ SD of the value for age- and sex-matched normal subjects. The variables tested were 1) status at birth: sex, weight SDS, length SDS, ponderal index, mode of delivery, and Apgar score; 2) genetic background: height SDS of the mother, height SDS of the father, midparental height (MPH) SDS, and ethnic origin (the ethnic background of the patients was analyzed by adding dummy variables, e.g. 0/1 Asian/not Asian, to allow mathematical analysis within the multiple regression computer program); 3) treatment modality: GH dose [international units (3 IU = 1 mg) per kilogram of body weight and international units per kilogram of ideal body weight (weight for height) per week] and frequency of GH injections; and 4) patient variables at start of treatment: age, height/length SDS, weight SDS, height/length SDS minus MPH SDS, peak GH level during provocative tests, and pituitary hormone deficiency status (i.e. isolated GHD or multiple pituitary hormone deficiencies).
The height/length standards used for normal children were those of Tanner et al. (12), and the weight standards were those of Freeman et al. (13). Birth weight for gestational age was transformed to SDSs based on the standards of Niklasson et al. (14). The MPH SDS was calculated as the fathers height SDS + mothers height SDS = 1.61 (15), based on the standards of Tanner et al. (12).
The prediction models were developed by means of multiple linear regression analysis fitted by least squares and the REG procedure of the SAS computer program (mainframe version 6.12, SAS Institute, Inc., Cary, NC). A hierarchy of predictive factors was derived by the all possible regression approach, using Mallows C(p) criterion for ordering predictive factors, as described by Weisberg and Cook (16, 17). Differences between observed and predicted height velocities were expressed in terms of Studentized residuals. The residual is calculated as the observed height velocity minus the predicted height velocity for each observation, and the Studentized residual is the residual divided by its SE.
Wilcoxon rank tests were used for comparisons, median values, and 1090th percentile range. Spearman correlation coefficients are quoted. The P values correspond to two-sided tests. In addition, means and SD values are given if appropriate. For multivariate regression analyses, the procedure REG in the program package SAS version 8 was used.
| Results |
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The respective characteristics of the two groups of patients for the period preceding GH treatment are listed in Table la
. Our findings showed that in both groups, gestational age, birth weight, birth length, and head circumference at birth were similar. In the younger cohort, the relative frequencies of breech delivery, hypoglycemia, microphallus (in males), and multiple pituitary hormone deficiency were significant. The relative frequency of cesarean sections, however, was not different between the two groups. In addition, the results of GH testing indicated that GHD in the younger cohort was more severe. In the older cohort, the heights of the mother and father and the MPH values were significantly lower.
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) in height SDS were greater in the young group, whereas the opposite was true for height velocity when transformed into SDS.
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height SDS, 0.6 vs. 0.8; all P < 0.01); however, height velocity transformed into SDS was higher in the group with 7- to 8-yr-olds.
A significant difference in the Studentized residuals was found between the cohorts when the previously developed models were applied. In the younger group, the mean values were not only elevated compared with those in the older group (P < 0.001), but were also not similar to the previous model group due to the large scatter (Fig. 2
). In comparison with the previous prediction models, developed on the basis of prepubertal children with ages above 2 yr, the predicted height velocities were slightly, but significantly (P < 0.05), higher than the observed height velocities (mean Studentized residual, 0.3; P < 0.01), but with a normal variability. This shows that the previously developed models are not applicable to the younger cohort of children less than 3 yr of age. We therefore developed specific prediction models for the group with patients younger than 3 yr of age (Fig. 2
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The variables (mean and SD) found to be predictive of height velocity in our previous as well as new models for the first year of treatment, the overall correlation coefficients of the prediction models, and the error SD of their prediction as well as the probability level of differences in the various predictors used for comparison of the previous and present models are listed in Table 2
. The order of importance in the models (rank) and the partially explained variability of the models (pR2) are also shown in Table 2
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When comparing the models that included the degree of GHD (GH peak in tests; model B; Table 2
), the same predictors were also found to be significant (P < 0.001) in the two age groups. The model for the younger patients explained less (54% vs. 61%) of the total variability in the growth response, albeit with the same order of error. There were no differences in the quantitative effect of the distance to target height or of weight SDS. There was a lower effect from differences in weight at birth and differences in the degree of GHD (GH peak in tests), but a greater effect of differences in age (the younger the child, the higher the HT velocity) and differences in GH dose.
Thus, in both models, regardless of the GH peak in tests, the importance of the GH dose increased with respect to its rank in the model, but also in terms of its quantitative effect. During the second year of GH treatment, the data for the young cohort showed no difference between the observed height velocity and the height velocity predicted by the previously published model (data not shown here). Thus, the phenomenon of the difference between the very young and older, prepubertal children in terms of response to GH is restricted to the first year of treatment.
| Discussion |
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The cohort of children we analyzed in this study, who began GH treatment before 3 yr of age, shows the typical differences at birth and at the start of GH treatment compared with children diagnosed and treated during midchildhood. Size at birth was similar in the two cohorts, whereas parental height was lower in the group that started GH therapy later. In the early therapy group, the degree of GHD was more severe, and there was a higher fraction of patients with additional pituitary deficiencies; consequently, there was a higher prevalence of hypoglycemia and microphallus (in males) observed during infancy. The severity of the pituitary deficits in the young cohort probably resulted in a more profound and earlier stunting of growth. Birth history also revealed a higher proportion of breech deliveries in the young group, but the same frequency of cesarean section, although cesarean sections were more frequent in both GHD groups compared with a reference population (19). The potentially causal relationship between modalities of birth and lesions of the pituitary (20) remains obscure. In the group of children with early treatment, the applied dose of GH per kilogram of body weight was slightly higher than the dosage given during later childhood. This may partly be due to the fact that some KIGS investigators calculated the GH dose on the basis of body surface rather than weight.
To analyze the response to GH in a wide age range of prepubertal children by applying the previously developed growth prediction model, we chose a cohort of very young children (03 yr of age) and another cohort covering a narrow age slot (78 yr of age). Our findings showed that the mean values of the parameters characterizing the latter as well as those of the previously analyzed prepubertal cohort were very similar. Although there was no significant difference between the observed and the predicted height velocities during the first year of GH treatment in the 78 yr olds regardless of the model applied (either including or excluding GH peak in tests), there were significant differences in the younger cohort. The Studentized residuals, representing the index of responsiveness, were almost 1 SD above identity (zero), and the scatter was large (Fig. 2
). It is remarkable that this was no longer the case during subsequent treatment, because a more uniform pattern of growth in response to GH therapy sets in after the first year of GH treatment. In view of the fact that the growth rate declines with age during prepubertal life, it becomes evident that the response to GH, in terms of centimeters per year or gain in height, is greater among younger patients. Height velocity, in terms of SDS, is lower in the younger cohort, a fact attributable to the greater SE of height velocity at that age.
On deriving new models for the young cohort, we did not anticipate that the same predictors were qualitatively relevant for the models of the young as well as for the total prepubertal cohort, nor did we expect that the overall predicted variabilities and errors of prediction would be very similar. However, the partial contributions of single predictors were found to be different. The fact that the influence of the differences in age was greater in the models is probably due to the normal pattern of growth during that age, which is characterized by a rapid decline in height velocity. The diminished effect of height distance to target height may be explained by the fact that the young organism seeks the growth target, which is an inherent process, which, however, does not end before the age of 3 yr.
In the model involving the peak GH levels in tests, these levels were of lesser significance for the young cohort. Although this parameter was found to be the most important during childhood, it dropped to the second rank and to only about one third of the partial contribution to the explained variability. Because the range in GH levels was the same in both groups, this finding may reflect the difficulty of establishing the quantitative level of GH deficiency in young children. Finally, the partial contribution to the explained variability in the growth response by the parameter of GH dose was found to be higher in the young cohort. This means that the gain in height per unit of GH given is higher in this age group. However, in both models, which either included or excluded the peak GH levels in provocation tests, the rank of importance of the GH dose within the models increased from rank 5 in the old models to ranks 2 and 3 in the new models, respectively. In the prediction models derived for prepubertal children with Turner syndrome (21) and short for gestational age (22), the GH dose is the most important predictor (rank 1) and indicates an impaired GH sensitivity if compared with GHD. This also suggests that at a mean age of 1.9 yr, the GH resistance during the growth phase of infancy has not yet completely subsided in the cohort. These observations do not contradict the view that GHD, as indeed all other growth disorders, should be discovered early by means of appropriately structured health programs. Early replacement of GH in younger children with GHD is more effective in achieving height improvement than when the treatment starts later in childhood. Apart from this, the psychological benefits are greater, and the improvement in cost-effectiveness is vast. The mechanisms that govern the responsiveness to GH in the young child need to be studied in large cohorts of affected children and should involve the standardized collection of additional anthropometrical and biochemical parameters.
| Acknowledgments |
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| Footnotes |
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Abbreviations:
, Maximum change; GHD, GH deficiency; MPH, midparental height; SDS, SD score.
Received June 3, 2004.
Accepted December 3, 2004.
| References |
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